Sorry for the delay, I've been busy with other projects...
I received the Unix cable from APC, and powstatd started working just fine. I too am using a dumb UPS (Back-UPS 650). I went through all the powstatd -t testing, and discovered that I only get OK and FAIL, no LOW signal. Therefore, as soon as the UPS sees even the sligtest power outage, the server shuts down immediately.
All I need to do now is figure out how to make powstatd run at startup (Charlie, can you help?)
I have been doing some other testing with the Windows cable and a Back-UPS 300 (thank you Staples for the $10 UPS!). I get the following with powstatd:
MUST init RTS with 1, DTR with 0, otherwise UPS light goes out.
OK is the 0 0 0 0 combination.
FAIL seems to be a 1 0 0 1 combination.
LOW is being tested for right now, but I don't think I'll get a signal, just like on the BU650.